Daytime Emmy Predictions

by | June 17, 2011 at 12:52 PM | Deep Soap

The Daytime Emmys air this Sunday, June 19th (8PM, CBS). I will be in Vegas to cover the festivities. To get in the mood, I am offering my predictions based on the reels that the nominees submitted. A single episode is used to judge a year of work. It’s unfair, but that’s the the rules. I have a terrible prognostication track record, so use your own judgment if you have a high stakes Daytime Emmy pool.

Outstanding Drama Series
All My Children” (November 23, 2010)
The Bold and the Beautiful” (October 14 and 15, 2010)
General Hospital” (July 23, 2010)
The Young and the Restless” (November 29, 2010)

Will Win: “The Bold & the Beautiful”

My Choice: “The Young & the Restless”

“All My Children” submitted the episode when David (Vincent Irizarry) turned up in the courtroom after Greenlee (Rebecca Budig) was convicted of her murder. It was one of the strongest episodes of last year, but it was a fairly cliched back-from-the-dead scenario that can’t compete from a production standpoint with the other submitted shows. “General Hospital” submitted the location shoot at the Museum of Contemporary Art in which Franco (James Franco) seemingly fell to his death. It was an ambitious show, but the end result was not as visually impressive as GH’s past efforts and lacked emotional content. “The Young & the Restless” would be my pick. This episode from the show’ New Orleans remote was not my favorite, but it is visually arresting. There were also strong performances from Nikki (Melody Thomas Scott) and Victor (Eric Braeden), as he left her because of her alcoholism. Overall, it was the trongest nominated soap of 2010 o I would like to see it win. I think “The Bold & the Beautiful” will make it a threepeat with its episodes shot on location at Los Angeles’ Skid Row featuring documentary style interviews with real homeless people is unbeatable Emmy bait. It’s virtuous and socially responsible at a time when the television had declared the daytime drama irrelevant.

“The Young and the Restless” Sneak Peek:

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series
Alicia Minshew as Kendall Slater, “All My Children” (Kendall learns Zach is dead.)
Debbi Morgan as Angie Hubbard, “All My Children” (Angie grapples with going blind.)
Colleen Zenk as Barbara Ryan, “As the World Turns” (Barbara marries Henry.)
Susan Flannery as Stephanie Forrester, “The Bold and the Beautiful” (Stephanie talks to homeless people.)
Laura Wright as Carly Corinthos Jacks, “General Hospital” (Carly reacts to Michael going to prison.)
Michelle Stafford as Phyllis Summers, “The Young and the Restless” (Phyllis kicks Sharon out of her apartment and breaks up with Nick.)

My Choice: Debbi  Morgan

Will Win: Susan Flannery

This is a tough category to predict. All of the nominees are deserving, in my opinion. It will come down to who has the best reel. Minshew has heavy emotional scenes, but in the annals of soap portrayals of learning the love of your life has died, she doe not make the top five. Zenk has a great reel, playing both the comedy of Henry and Barbara’s unlikely romance, and the heartfelt emotion of their vows. I am not sure that enough Academy members will go for both the lighter tone and acknowledging a soap that left the air last September. Wright is a powerhouse, but she submitted an episode in which Carly is reacting to others behavior, rather than center stage. Stafford is an academy favorite. She does a masterful job of playing Phyllis’s anger. She could be the dark horse. I would have voted for Morgan. Though she has the shortest reel, she make the mot of every second. She’s heartbreaking a she portray Angie’s realization. I suspect the Academy will choose Flannery, who has won many times before. Though the episodes where she speak with the homeless are from her meatiest work, the stoeyline has social relevance. The actors who vote will likely be impressed with Flannery’s ability to improvise dialogue while speaking to non-actors.

Debbi Morgan as Angie Hubbard:

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series
Ricky Paull Goldin as Jake Martin, “All My Children” (A comedic sequence of events, as Jake attempts to propose to Amanda.)
Michael Park as Jack Snyder, “As the World Turns” (Jack argues with Janet then tell Carly they should fight for their relationship.)
James Scott as EJ DiMera, “Days of Our Lives” (E.J. confronts Nicole than contemplates suicide)
Maurice Benard as Sonny Corinthos, “General Hospital” (Sonny threatens to kill Ethan before opening up to Kristina about being a bused a a child.)
Christian LeBlanc as Michael Baldwin, “The Young and the Restless” (Michael tries to figure out why Lauren is behaving strangely)

My choice: James Scott

Will win: Maurice Benard

This is a category with a lot of glaring omissions. Goldin’s reel seems too lighthearted to get votes. Park’s is subtle, and ATWT has been off the air for a long time. LeBlanc is an Emmy favorite, but he was not given the material to win this past year. I would love to see Scott, who has carried DOOL in the past year, portraying E.J. as a complicated, conflicted villain despite one-dimensional writing. He also has the strongest reel, as E.J. goes from anger to depression. However, I don’t think that the Academy is going to recognize an actor under 40 who is on DOOL, the show that rarely wins Emmys. Benard has Emmy-bait material and is one of daytime’s most recognizable actors. I think he’ll get the nod.

Ricky Paull Goldin as Jake Martin:

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series
Melissa Claire Egan as Annie Chandler, “All My Children” (Annie and J.R. argue about their affair.)
Julie Pinson as Janet Ciccone, “As the World Turns” (Janet realizes her marriage to Jack is over/)
Heather Tom as Katie Logan Spencer, “The Bold and the Beautiful” (Katie, angry at the way he has treated her sisters, walks out on Bill.)
Nancy Lee Grahn as Alexis Davis, “General Hospital” (Alexis encourages her daughter to testify against Ethan and confronts Sonny about his plans to have Ethan killed.)
Bree Williamson as Jessica Brennan, “One Life to Live” (Jessica tell Brody the child she is carrying might not be his.)
Tricia Cast as Nina Webster, “The Young and the Restless” (Nina confront Ronan about killing Chance.)

My choice: Tricia Cast

Will win: Tricia Cast

If Tricia Cast doesn’t win this category I will be very disappointed. She is truly a supporting actress, unlike Williamson who is definitely a leading lady. Egan played a mentally unstable character without a trace of campiness. Grahn is always excellent. But Cast hit it out of the park in emotional scenes that were decades in the making. She returned to the show after nearly a decade off the canvas without missing a beat. When she cried, I cried.

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Drama Series
Jonathan Jackson as Lucky Spencer, “General Hospital” (Lucky confronts Nik and Elizabeth about their affair.)
Jason Thompson as Patrick Drake, “General Hospital” (Patrick confesses to Robin that he cheated on her.)
Brian Kerwin as Charlie Banks, “One Life to Live” (Charlie admits to Viki that he has fallen off the wagon.)
Doug Davidson as Paul Williams, “The Young and the Restless” (Paul begs his sister Patty not to kill herself.)
Billy Miller as Billy Abbott, “The Young and the Restless” (Billy learns Victoria has had a miscarriage.)

My choice: Jonathan Jackson

Will win: Jonathan Jackson

If Jackson does not win, it will be a huge upset. Without rewatching, I could remember a lot of the dialogue from Jackson’s performance as a drunk Lucky confronted his brother and his wife about their affair nearly a year and a half after the scenes originally aired. (“Rutting like animals!”) They were just that good.

Outstanding Younger Actress In A Drama Series
Brittany Allen as Marissa Chandler, “All My Children” (Marissa confesses to J.R. that she cheated on him.)
Lexi Ainsworth as Kristina Corinthos-Davis, “General Hospital” (Kristina talks to her mother about being abused by her boyfriend.)
Emily O’Brien as Jana Hawkes, “The Young and the Restless” (Jana escapes from a cage only to be locked in a crate.)

My choice: Lexi Ainsworth

Will win: Lexi Ainsworth

Allen’s nomination is a mystery. (What does the academy have against OLTL’s Kristen Alderson who was robbed?) O’Brien is a true talent, but she submitted an episode where she was locked in a cage then locked in a crate. It’s silly out of context.  Ainsworth had the meatiest scene in a socially relevant toryline about teen dating violence. Plus, she’s an actual teenager.

Outstanding Younger Actor In A Drama Series
Scott Clifton as Liam Spencer, “The Bold and the Beautiful” (Liam learns that Bill is hid father.)
Chandler Massey as Will Horton, “Days of Our Lives” (Will tell Nicole that no matter what she does, Sydney will always love Sami.)
Chad Duell as Michael Corinthos, “General Hospital” (Michael lashes out at Abby because he is unable to talk about what happened to him in prison.)

My choice: Scott Clifton

Will win: Scott Clifton

Clifton has been nominated for three different roles on three different soap in this category. It’s an unusual record. The brilliant ac has worked with so many people that it could give him a voting advantage. He has the most dramatic material and quite imply the bet performance. The likable Massey was given so little to do that it must have been difficult for him to put together a reel. Duell’s most powerful scenes happened outside of the eligibility period.

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